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15-year vs 30-year mortgage

A 15-year mortgage cuts total interest by 50-65% but typically doubles the monthly payment. A 30-year keeps payment low and lets you invest the difference. Which wins depends on your investment-return assumption and cash-flow priorities.

Updated May 2026 · 4 min read
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Definition

A 15-year mortgage cuts total interest by 50-65% but typically doubles the monthly payment. A 30-year keeps payment low and lets you invest the difference. Which wins depends on your investment-return assumption and cash-flow priorities.

What it means

On a $320K loan at 6.5% (30-year) vs 6.0% (15-year, since shorter loans price slightly lower), the monthly P&I is $2,022 (30) vs $2,700 (15). Total interest over loan life: $408K (30) vs $166K (15) — the 15-year saves $242K in interest. But that extra $678/month for 15 years invested in S&P 500 at 7% real returns becomes about $214K. The investment alternative is roughly equivalent in net wealth, with the 30-year giving more flexibility (you can stop the ‘extra’ investment in lean years).

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Why it matters

The classic 30-year-and-invest argument depends on actually investing the difference. Many 30-year borrowers spend the lower payment on lifestyle creep instead, ending up with a longer mortgage and no extra investments. The 15-year is a forcing function for forced savings. The 30-year is the right answer for disciplined investors with good behavior controls (auto-invest the difference); the 15-year is the right answer for everyone else.

Example

$320K at 6% (15-year) → $2,700/month, $166K total interest. $320K at 6.5% (30-year) → $2,022/month, $408K total interest. Difference: $678/month for 15 years. Invest that at 7% in tax-advantaged account: $214K balance at year 15.

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Frequently asked questions

Why are 15-year rates lower?

Less risk to the lender — shorter loan = less time for borrower default or rate-environment changes. Typically 0.25-0.5% lower than 30-year rates.

Can I always afford a 15-year?

If the 15-year payment exceeds 28% of gross income, you can’t. Most personal-finance experts use the 28% rule as the affordability ceiling.

What about the 20-year mortgage as a middle ground?

Available but rare. Few borrowers use it because 30-year offers flexibility and 15-year offers fastest payoff. 20-year occupies an awkward middle.

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